In this article
After this article, you can
- Sum losses and fees for an explicit close count.
- Separate one attempt's fixed amount from the whole period's result.
Terms at hand: Realized P/L · Commission · Trading Journal · Break-Even · Drawdown · Position size (lot quantity)
Loss chasing means subordinating decisions to recovering earlier money. It may appear immediately or across later sessions through increased size, more trades, longer hours or repeated deposits. Check whether current conditions and exposure still govern the decision, rather than a requirement to get back to an earlier balance.
A later trade is not automatically a chase
Another entry after a loss can meet its own conditions. Adding to a position can also follow a previously specified method. Neither action alone establishes motivation; calculate exposure across all parts and review the exit rule. “Planned” does not prove safety or an edge.
This lesson considers a recurring pattern of breaches, deposits and financial pressure as well as an immediate reaction. The related procedure for revenge trading addresses a possible interruption; it does not guarantee that distress or chasing disappears.
A realised loss does not improve the next setup
Kahneman and Tversky’s prospect theory describes how gains and losses relative to a reference point can affect choices. It is not a universal “twice as painful” measurement for every trader or a rule that all people take more risk after a loss.
Separate a closed result from present resources. Unspent funds remain yours; an open position has current value and exposure. The earlier loss may have reduced available capital, affected obligations or revealed an error. Those consequences matter even though a wish to recover a specified amount is not an entry signal.
Ask whether the proposed decision would qualify under current conditions without the recovery goal. That is a review question, not a test guaranteeing objectivity. Do not pretend the account is flat or that all committed capital is an irrelevant sunk cost.
A fixed loss per attempt does not fix the series loss
Per-close loss stays unchanged in this model. More consecutive losing closes increase the sum including fees.
Scroll sideways to see the full diagram
Trace the calculation:4 × (25 + 2) = 108 PLN; 12 × (25 + 2) = 324 PLN. “I did not increase stakes” specifies neither attempt count nor period cost. It also does not imply that the next close must lose or win; that requires another model.
Doubling successive losses: specify the model
Our hypothetical example concerns successive fully closed losses, not simultaneous averaging. Initial balance is PLN 10,000. Each loss exactly equals its assigned stake, with no fees, slippage, deposits or other operations. After a loss, the next stake doubles.
All table percentages use the initial balance. After four losses, the next PLN 1,600 stake is 1,600/8,500 ≈ 18.82% of remaining capital, not 16%. If the fifth attempt instead gains exactly PLN 1,600, it covers prior losses of 1,500 and leaves 100, solely under the assigned assumptions.
No win or unlimited doubling is guaranteed. Capital, available margin and order limits are finite; costs and actual fills can worsen the result. Increasing a stake does not by itself improve the signal or make a win due. For the mathematical distinction between drawdown and recovery, see maximum drawdown.
From PLN 10,000 to 8,500 is a 15% decline. Returning without cash flows requires 1,500/8,500 ≈ 17.65% growth on the remainder. A 20% decline needs 25% recovery; a 50% decline needs 100%. These are arithmetic relationships, not recovery timetables.
Fixed stakes and a restored balance can still conceal losses
More attempts can increase cumulative losses without doubling size. The diagram’s separate fictional sequence has PLN 25 price loss plus a separate PLN 2 fee at every fully closed position. Four losses total 4 × 27 = PLN 108; twelve total 12 × 27 = PLN 324. No probability or prediction is assigned to the sequence.
Deposits can also disguise a drawdown on the platform. In another hypothetical balance sheet, the trading account starts with PLN 10,000 and an outside reserve with 5,000: total 15,000. A closed loss of 1,500 leaves 8,500 + 5,000 = 13,500. Transferring 1,500 from reserve restores the trading balance to 10,000, but reserve becomes 3,500 and the total stays 13,500.
The money moved location; it was not earned back. This simplified model excludes fees, tax and liabilities and does not justify using a reserve for another recovery attempt. Record transfers separately from trading results and include resources needed outside trading.
Review changes in quantity, limits, deposits and session length against the earlier rules. Repeated breaches can overlap with the discussion of tilt and recovery, but two or three behaviours do not supply a psychological diagnosis. Preserve unknown reasons where documentation is missing.
Interrupt financing and seek appropriate support
Suspend entries and deposits whose sole purpose is recovery. First arrange management of open positions, pending orders and required automation: closing a platform does not remove exposure. Establish actual account value, net results, liabilities and essential funds outside trading.
Do not treat borrowing or household-bill money as a mathematical solution to drawdown. Ask the provider what account restrictions exist and what they cover; a local alert is not necessarily a block across devices, accounts or automation. In MT5, built-in trailing runs in a terminal while an already set Stop Loss operates on the server.
A predeclared daily limit can be a control to test; there is no universal two- or three-percent threshold, one-percent stake or fifteen-minute pause that reliably eliminates chasing. A fixed percentage also does not require fixed lots: different stop distances can produce different quantities. Ordinary stops are not guaranteed loss caps. The wider trading psychology library discusses related procedures.
NHS gambling-harm guidance includes chasing losses, borrowing and financial or health harm among reasons to examine behaviour and seek support. It does not classify every losing trade as gambling or diagnose someone from one action. Its clinic information is specific to England; elsewhere, seek the relevant local health or behavioural-addiction service.
For readers in Poland, KCPU lists the behavioural-addictions support line 801 889 880, daily 17:00–22:00, charged according to the caller’s operator tariff. Check the current official service information and access conditions. No self-diagnosis or promised return to trading is required before asking about support.
The aim is control over decisions and finances, not a promise to recover money in the market. Reducing or ending trading can remain an option; it is not necessary to complete the review with another order.
Check your understanding
One short exercise
About 2 min · you can try again
Each of 12 losing closes has a PLN 25 price loss plus a separate PLN 2 fee. What is the total model loss?
- 300 PLN.
- 324 PLN.
- 27 PLN because stakes did not rise.
Check the answer and explanation
324 PLN.
Each close costs 25 + 2 = PLN 27; 12 × 27 = 324 includes all assigned losses and fees.
Frequently asked
Must loss chasing occur immediately with a larger position?
No. It can recur across sessions as greater size, more small trades, longer hours or deposits despite earlier stopping decisions. Another entry after a loss is not automatically chasing: check its own conditions, total exposure and justification.
Does prospect theory establish twice as much pain for every trader?
No. The reference-point account of choices is not a universal clinical intensity ratio or proof that every person becomes risk-seeking after a loss. Present funds, obligations and open exposure remain relevant; a realised loss does not improve the next setup.
Are successive doubled losses the same as averaging an open position?
No. Our model closes each loss before the next attempt and uses a fixed initial PLN 10,000 base. Losses 100, 200, 400 and 800 total 1,500, leaving 8,500. Averaging requires a separate calculation for all open quantities, entry prices, exits and costs. Neither process guarantees recovery.
Does a daily limit or closing the platform reliably end chasing?
No universal guarantee or percentage follows. Suspend new recovery entries and deposits, establish outstanding exposure and check the scope of any provider restriction. A closed terminal can stop local automation while positions remain. If control is repeatedly lost despite harm, contact an appropriate local health or behavioural-addiction service.
Sources & bibliography
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Daniel Kahneman Thinking, Fast and Slow · Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011; discusses prospect theory and loss aversion. www.penguinrandomhouse.com ↗
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American Psychological Association APA Dictionary of Psychology — loss aversion · Defines loss aversion as a tendency to weigh possible losses more heavily than equivalent gains. dictionary.apa.org ↗
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Mark Douglas Trading in the Zone · Prentice Hall Press, 2000; discusses risk acceptance and reluctance to close losing positions. www.penguinrandomhouse.com ↗
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Andrew Huberman Huberman Lab - Tools for Managing Stress & Anxiety · A podcast episode discussing stress responses and related practices. www.hubermanlab.com ↗
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NHS — England healthcare guidance Help for problems with gambling · Identifies loss chasing, borrowing and financial or health harms as reasons to review behaviour and seek support. Clinic access information is specific to England; it is not a Forex-trader diagnosis or a promise of recovery. www.nhs.uk ↗
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KCPU — Poland behavioural-addiction support Official information about behavioural-addictions support · Lists the Poland support line 801 889 880, daily 17:00–22:00, with calls charged at the operator tariff. Check current official availability and access conditions; no trading-return promise follows. kcpu.gov.pl ↗
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Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky — original research Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979) · The original reference-point model discusses choices involving gains and losses. It does not provide a universal twice-as-painful intensity measurement or an individual causal diagnosis of trading behaviour. web.mit.edu ↗
