Liquidity on the forex market — what it is and why it matters

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Risk warning · YMYL This article is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. Trading on the Forex market involves a high risk of capital loss — ESMA reports 74–89% of retail accounts lose money.

Liquidity is one of those words that sounds abstract until it starts costing you money. In plain terms it answers a simple question: can I buy or sell as much as I want without pushing the price against myself? According to the Bank for International Settlements survey of 2022, around 7.5 trillion dollars flows through the global currency market every day — and that enormous mass of capital is what lets you trade the most popular pairs almost invisibly. But this liquidity is not spread evenly: it shifts with the pair, the hour and the day. In this article I explain what liquidity really is, why it dictates your spread and your slippage, and how a retail trader can put it on their side.

What liquidity actually means on the forex market

Put simply, liquidity is the market's ability to absorb your order without a meaningful change in price. A liquid market is one where, at any given moment, so many participants are waiting on both sides — buyers and sellers — that your trade is a drop in the ocean. An illiquid market does the opposite: a single one-lot order can move the quote by several pips, because there simply are not enough offers on the other side.

Forex is the most liquid market in the world: the 7.5 trillion dollars of daily turnover is larger than every stock exchange on the planet combined. Most of that sum concentrates in a handful of pairs. The most actively traded is EUR/USD — in the 2022 BIS survey it accounted for roughly 22.7 percent of all turnover, while USD/JPY made up about 13.5 percent and GBP/USD around 9.5 percent. The further down this hierarchy you go, the thinner liquidity becomes, until you reach the exotic pairs, where turnover is a fraction of what trades on the majors.

It is worth separating two things beginners often confuse. Volatility tells you how much the price moves; liquidity tells you how easily you can get in and out at the price you see. A pair can be both highly volatile and highly liquid at once — that is exactly how EUR/USD behaves during a US payrolls release: the price flies, but there is plenty of size on both sides.

Who provides liquidity — banks, market makers, pools

Liquidity does not appear out of thin air. At the very top sit the large banks — the institutions known as Tier-1 liquidity providers: Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan, Citi, UBS and a dozen or so others. They continuously quote bid and ask prices on the interbank market. Your retail broker is not trading against you in a vacuum — in the A-book model it passes your order to an aggregator, which collects quotes from many of these banks and picks the best available.

This explains why the spread on liquid pairs is so tight. When a dozen market makers compete for your flow at once, each is motivated to quote tighter than its rival — otherwise it will not win the trade. Where participants are scarce, one market maker is left alone and widens the spread to protect itself against risk. It is the same law of supply and demand, applied to the very ability to trade.

The term "liquidity pool" simply describes all those bids and offers gathered in a given place and time. The deeper the pool — the more orders waiting at successive price levels — the larger a trade the market absorbs before the price flinches. A shallow pool means even a moderate order moves the quote, because it quickly "eats" the offers at the nearest levels.

How liquidity rules your spread

This is the most tangible effect of liquidity for a retail trader. The spread — the difference between the bid and the ask — is effectively the price of liquidity. A liquid market means a tight spread, because many market makers compete. An illiquid market means a wide spread, because there is no competition.

The scale of that difference can be surprising. On EUR/USD during the hours of highest liquidity the spread drops to 0.1–1 pip, depending on the account type. On exotic pairs — say USD/TRY or EUR/PLN — a normal spread is often 10–50 pips, and worse in bad moments. This is not broker malice but a direct reflection of how many market participants are willing to trade that pair. I break down the mechanics of the spread itself in a separate piece on what a spread is and how it works.

From a cost perspective: if you scalp EUR/USD at a 0.3-pip spread, each entry costs you a fraction of the position's value. The same style on an exotic pair with a thirty-pip spread is simply uneconomic — before the price moves your way you first have to earn back the cost of entry, and that cost can exceed the realistic profit on the trade. That is why exotics suit positional trading rather than rapid scalping.

Liquidity and slippage — why an order fills worse

The second cost of low liquidity is slippage — the gap between the price you expected and the price at which your order actually filled. The mechanism is straightforward: a market order "takes" the offers from the book in sequence, starting with the best one. If there is not enough volume at the first level, it draws from the next — worse — one. In a liquid market with a deep pool this effect is negligible; in a shallow market it can cost you several pips on a single trade.

Slippage hits hardest in two situations, united by one thing: a thin order book. The first is trading an exotic pair — there the pool is shallow by definition. The second, more dangerous because it affects even the majors, is the moments when liquidity suddenly dries up: right after an unexpected macro release, during a central bank chief's speech, or at the Sunday-evening market open. Market makers pull their quotes at such moments, spreads widen, and a stop loss executed in that hole can fill far further away than you assumed. I describe exactly how slippage arises and how to limit it in the article on what slippage is.

"Liquidity is the readiness of the market to trade when you want to trade, in the size you want, at a price close to the price last observed in the market." — Larry Harris, Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners, Oxford University Press, 2003.

Trading hours — when liquidity is highest

Liquidity on forex has a daily rhythm, set by the financial centres that open in sequence: Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York. The most important is London — the single largest share of global currency turnover passes through its desks. When the New York session joins the already-open London market, the highest-liquidity window of the entire day appears.

This overlap of London and New York falls roughly between 13:00 and 17:00 Central European Time, that is, early afternoon in continental Europe. In this window spreads are tightest and the book is deepest — because the two largest pools of capital in the world are trading at once. For a European retail trader this is an unusually convenient time: it lands after working hours or over a break rather than in the middle of the night. I expand on the rhythm of the sessions in separate pieces — on the overlap between sessions and on choosing the best hours to trade.

At the other extreme is the Asian session in the middle of the European night. Outside the pairs involving the yen and the Australian dollar, liquidity is thinner then, spreads are wider, and moves can be erratic, because a small flow is enough to shift a thin book. Scalping EUR/USD at three in the morning is an uphill fight — you pay a wider spread simply for trading when nobody else wants to.

When liquidity vanishes — weekends, holidays, exotics

There are moments when low liquidity turns from an inconvenience into a real risk. The first is the weekend. The forex market closes on Friday evening and opens again on Sunday night — and over those hours the world does not stop. If something significant happens on Saturday (a political decision, an election result, an escalation of a conflict), the price at the Sunday open can "jump" relative to the Friday close, creating a price gap. A stop loss will not trigger inside that gap — it fills only at the first available price, which can be far worse.

The second such moment is the holidays — especially the Christmas and New Year period, when the London and New York desks empty out. Spreads on even the most liquid pairs can widen several-fold then, and moves become nervous on minimal volume. Local public holidays of key economies work the same way: US Thanksgiving hits dollar pairs, Japan's Golden Week hits yen pairs, UK bank holidays hit sterling pairs.

The third, permanent source of risk is the exotic pairs. Here low liquidity is not temporary — it is a fixed feature of the instrument. A wide spread, a shallow book and a susceptibility to violent moves are the price you pay for trading the currency of a small or unstable economy. For the record, the industry's standard caution applies: according to the European regulator ESMA, between 74 and 89 percent of retail accounts trading leveraged products lose money — and trading in thin liquidity only worsens that figure, because it adds costs a beginner does not see until the statement arrives.

What to do tomorrow

Liquidity is quiet — you do not see it directly on the chart, but you see it on the statement at the end of the month. Here are four concrete steps that will stop you overpaying for bad timing.

  1. Check the spreads on your account at three different times. Open the platform at eight in the morning, at two in the afternoon and at three at night, and note the spread on EUR/USD and on one exotic pair. You will see with your own eyes how much liquidity changes the cost of entry over a single day. Those three numbers will tell you more than ten articles.
  2. Move your trading into the 13:00–17:00 CET window. If you have been trading at random hours, for the next week place trades only during the overlap of the London and New York sessions. Compare the average spread and the quality of order execution with the previous week.
  3. Close positions before the weekend and before major holidays. Mark Christmas, New Year and US Thanksgiving in your calendar as no-trade days. On Friday afternoon, work out whether you really want to hold an open position over the weekend knowing the gap risk — if you have no strong reason to, close it.
  4. Stick to high-liquidity pairs until you are sure. For the first few months trade only the majors — EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD. Leave the exotic pairs for later, once you understand how much a wide spread and a shallow book actually cost you.

Related reading: the spread — the price of liquidity in practical terms; price slippage — what happens when the book is thin; liquidity and trading hours — the daily rhythm of the market step by step. If you want the deeper market-microstructure picture, the liquidity entry on ForexMechanics covers the institutional plumbing in more detail.

Jarosław Wasiński
About the author

Jarosław Wasiński

Editor-in-chief at MyBank.pl · Financial and market analyst

Independent analyst and practitioner with 20+ years in finance. Founder and editor-in-chief of MyBank.pl, running since 2004. Fundamental analysis of FX and macro markets since 2007.

Sources & bibliography

  1. Bank for International Settlements Triennial Central Bank Survey of FX and OTC derivatives markets in 2022 · Globalny dzienny obrót rynku walutowego 7,5 bln USD oraz udział poszczególnych par (EUR/USD około 22,7 procent obrotu). www.bis.org ↗
  2. Bank for International Settlements Triennial Survey 2022 — geographical distribution of FX turnover · Koncentracja obrotu w centrach finansowych — Londyn jako największy ośrodek, struktura nakładania się sesji. www.bis.org ↗
  3. European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) Product intervention measures on CFDs for retail clients · Dane nadzoru o odsetku rachunków detalicznych tracących na lewarowanych instrumentach (74–89 procent). www.esma.europa.eu ↗
  4. Oxford University Press Larry Harris — Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners (2003) · Definicja płynności i jej wymiarów (szerokość, głębokość, natychmiastowość) w mikrostrukturze rynku. global.oup.com ↗

Frequently asked

What is liquidity on the forex market and how does it differ from volatility?

Liquidity is the market's ability to absorb your order without a meaningful change in price — in other words, how easily you can buy or sell at the price you see on the screen. Volatility is something else: it tells you how much the price moves, regardless of how many participants are willing to trade. The two are often confused, yet they describe different things. A pair can be both highly liquid and highly volatile at the same time — that is how EUR/USD behaves during a US payrolls release: the price moves violently, but there is plenty of size on both sides, so getting in and out is easy. By contrast, an exotic pair in the middle of the night can be barely volatile yet still illiquid — the price sits still, but any larger trade shifts it immediately, because the order book is thin.

Why does liquidity determine the size of the spread?

The spread — the difference between the bid and the ask — is effectively the price of liquidity. In a liquid market many market makers compete for your flow at once: large banks and aggregators. Each of them is motivated to quote tighter than its rival, because otherwise it will not win the trade. The result of that competition is a very tight spread: on EUR/USD during the hours of highest liquidity it drops to 0.1–1 pip. Where participants are scarce, the mechanism reverses — one market maker is left alone and widens the spread to protect itself against the risk of holding an unwanted position. That is why on exotic pairs such as USD/TRY or EUR/PLN a normal spread is often 10–50 pips. This is not broker malice but a direct reflection of how many market participants are willing to trade that pair at that moment.

At what time is forex liquidity at its highest?

Liquidity has a daily rhythm set by the financial centres that open in sequence: Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York. The most capital flows when the two largest centres — London and New York — are open at the same time. This overlap of the sessions falls roughly between 13:00 and 17:00 Central European Time, that is, early afternoon in continental Europe. In this window spreads are tightest and the order book is deepest, because the two largest liquidity pools in the world are trading at once. For a European retail trader this is an unusually convenient time — it lands after working hours rather than in the middle of the night. At the other extreme is the Asian session during the European night: outside the pairs involving the yen and the Australian dollar, liquidity is thinner then, spreads are wider, and moves can be erratic, because a small flow is enough to shift a thin book.

Why is low liquidity over weekends and holidays dangerous?

Because it turns an inconvenience into a real risk. The forex market closes on Friday evening and only opens again on Sunday night — and over those several dozen hours the world does not stop. If something significant happens on Saturday (a political decision, an election result, an escalation of a conflict), the price at the Sunday open can jump relative to the Friday close, creating a price gap. A stop loss will not trigger inside that gap — it fills only at the first available price, which can be far worse than intended. Holidays work the same way, especially Christmas and New Year, when the London and New York desks empty out: spreads widen even on liquid pairs, and moves become nervous on minimal volume. That is why a sensible trader closes positions before the weekend and marks the major holidays in the calendar as no-trade days.

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