Forex glossary

Unemployment Rate

The unemployment rate is the share of people meeting unemployment criteria in the labour force, not the entire population. US U-3 comes from the CPS household survey; its criteria include no job, availability and active search, with specified exceptions. It differs from unemployment-insurance claims and NFP employment.

Illustrative example

How does it work in practice?

In a hypothetical survey population, 950 people are employed, 50 meet unemployment criteria and 200 are outside the labour force. Unemployment is 50 ÷ 1,000 = 5%, rather than 50 ÷ 1,200.

A case to work through

Fewer unemployed, no more employment

A fictional sample has 900 employed and 100 unemployed; 20 unemployed leave the labour force under its criteria.

  1. Initially, the rate is 100 ÷ 1,000 = 10%.
  2. Later it is 80 ÷ 980 ≈ 8.16%, with employment still 900.

What follows? Check employment and labour-force size alongside the rate.

Example boundary: This assumes no other changes and correct person classification.

The unemployment denominator

The unemployment denominatorIn this example, the rate falls without employment increasing.1EmploymentHypothetically 900 people, unchanged.2Unemployed100 → 80; 20 people leave the labour force.3Rate100/1,000 = 10%; later 80/980 ≈ 8.16%.
In this example, the rate falls without employment increasing.
Text description of the diagram
  1. Employment: Hypothetically 900 people, unchanged.
  2. Unemployed: 100 → 80; 20 people leave the labour force.
  3. Rate: 100/1,000 = 10%; later 80/980 ≈ 8.16%.

A useful distinction

Unemployment Rate / Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)

NFP counts payroll jobs; unemployment counts people in a household survey.

Check your understanding

Calculate unemployment after a hypothetical labour-force departure.

Does a lower rate alone prove employment rose?

Show the answer and explanation

No, also check employment and participation

The percentage alone does not explain why.

Different US labour measures

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Sources and documentation

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