Forex glossary

Win Rate

Win rate is the share of closed trades with positive results in a stated sample. Specify treatment of costs and break-even trades. It does not show average gain or loss size and cannot establish profitability alone; sample size and representativeness also matter.

Illustrative example

How does it work in practice?

In a hypothetical sample, five closed trades have net results of +8, +6, −5, −4 and 0 PLN. Keeping the zero-result trade in the denominator gives a win rate of 2/5 = 40%; that percentage alone does not tell you the sample's net profit.

A case to work through

A cost changes the result category

Model: gross results +2, +8, −3 and 0 USD; each trade costs another 3 USD and all remain in the denominator.

  1. Net results are −1, +5, −6 and −3 USD.
  2. Only one of four is positive, so net win rate is 25%.

What follows? Define the convention before comparing reports.

Example boundary: Four trades illustrate arithmetic rather than a lasting edge.

A useful distinction

Win Rate / Expectancy

Expectancy uses gain and loss size; win rate measures only the sample’s share of positive results.

Check your understanding

Classify trades using net results.

Five net results: +4, +2, −1, 0, −3 USD. Keep zero in the denominator. What is win rate?

Show the answer and explanation

40%

Two positive trades out of five: 2/5.

Net results and risk measures

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Sources and documentation

  • MetaTrader 5: Trading Report

    The report distinguishes results before and after swaps and commissions and reports drawdown of the selected balance or equity measure from a local peak.

    Document read:

The example illustrates the mechanism. Check current account conditions and instrument specifications with the provider.

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