Forex glossary

Confluence (Multiple Signals)

Confluence means multiple analytical criteria agree near the same zone or decision. For example, prior support may coincide with a Fibonacci retracement. Criteria can share the same input data, so counting them does not establish independence or a higher success probability.

Illustrative example

How does it work in practice?

Assume prior support at 1.0950 coincides with the 50% retracement of a 1.0900–1.1000 move. These two criteria show confluence; the next trade's outcome still depends on its rules and execution.

A case to work through

Three readings from one price history

Hypothetically, price is above EMA, MACD is positive and RSI is 60 on the same timeframe.

  1. All three tools process price history; their agreement may repeat the same information.
  2. Separate the count of satisfied conditions from evidence of independence and measured effectiveness.

What follows? Record the three criteria and their shared data source.

Example boundary: Without testing, this combination cannot be assigned a specific success probability.

Check shared data

Check shared dataSeveral agreeing readings may repeat one piece of information.1Criteria listRecord conditions before assessing agreement.2Tool inputsIdentify tools sharing the same price history.3Independence assessmentDo not treat condition count as proof of independence.
Several agreeing readings may repeat one piece of information.
Text description of the diagram
  1. Criteria list: Record conditions before assessing agreement.
  2. Tool inputs: Identify tools sharing the same price history.
  3. Independence assessment: Do not treat condition count as proof of independence.

A useful distinction

Confluence (Multiple Signals) / Moving Average (MA)

Confluence combines several conditions; a moving average is one tool that may contribute a condition.

Check your understanding

Identify repeated information in a signal combination.

What can be stated about these three readings?

Show the answer and explanation

Three conditions agree, but independence is unestablished

Their shared price input limits that interpretation.

Oscillators without mixed scales

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Sources and documentation

The example illustrates the mechanism. Check current account conditions and instrument specifications with the provider.

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